In many spheres of human endeavor, from science to business to education to economic policy, good decisions depend on good measurement.
Ben BernankeRead
Economics is a highly sophisticated field of thought that is superb at explaining to policymakers precisely why the choices they made in the past were wrong. About the future, not so much.
Interpretation
This quote suggests that while economics can effectively critique past decisions, it struggles to predict future outcomes.
Ben Bernanke's quote highlights a fundamental limitation of economic theories and models: their ability to explain historical mistakes made by policymakers is strong, yet their predictive power for future events is considerably weaker. This distinction points to the complexities and uncertainties inherent in economic forecasting and the decisions that shape policy.
In practice
During a lecture on economic policy, one might quote Bernanke to emphasize the need for caution in predictive economics.
In many spheres of human endeavor, from science to business to education to economic policy, good decisions depend on good measurement.
Education - lifelong education for everyone - from toddlers to workers well advanced in their careers - is indeed an excellent investment for individuals and society as a whole.
Nobody likes to fail but failure is an essential part of life and of learning. If your uniform isn't dirty, you haven't been in the game.
Life is amazingly unpredictable; any 22-year-old who thinks they know where they will be in 10 years, much less in 30, is simply lacking imagination.
The benefit of appointing a hawkish central banker is the increased inflation-fighting credibility that such an appointment brings.
Income inequality is troubling because, among other things, it means that many people in our society don't have the opportunities to advance themselves.
When people from organizations like the World Bank descended on Third World countries, they always tried to remove obstacles to development, to reduce economic anxiety and uncertainty.
Socialism failed because it couldn't tell the economic truth. Capitalism may fail because it couldn't tell the ecological truth.
Contrary to a tenacious myth, France is not owned by California pension funds or the Bank of China, any more than the United States belongs to Japanese and German investors. The fear of getting into such a predicament is so strong today that fantasy often outstrips reality. The reality is that inequality with respect to capital is a far greater domestic issue than it is an international one.
It is my guiding confession that I believe the greatest error in economics is in seeing the economy as a stable, immutable structure.
Tariffs that save jobs in the steel industry mean higher steel prices, which in turn means fewer sales of American steel products around the world and losses of far more jobs than are saved.
I'm quite worried about the fiscal imbalances that we've got and what that might mean in terms of financial crisis ahead.
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