I tend to approach things from a physics framework. And physics teaches you to reason from first principles rather than by analogy.
Elon MuskRead
I've actually made a prediction that within 30 years a majority of new cars made in the United States will be electric. And I don't mean hybrid, I mean fully electric.
Interpretation
Elon Musk predicts that most new cars in the U.S. will be fully electric in 30 years.
In this quote, Elon Musk expresses his belief that the automotive industry will undergo a significant transformation, transitioning from traditional gasoline-powered vehicles to fully electric cars within the next three decades. This prediction highlights the growing trend towards sustainability and technological advancement in transportation, which could have profound implications for energy consumption, environmental impact, and the future of the automobile market.
In practice
During a tech conference, one might use this quote when discussing the future of the automotive industry.
I tend to approach things from a physics framework. And physics teaches you to reason from first principles rather than by analogy.
The United States is definitely ahead in culture of innovation. If someone wants to accomplish great things, there is no better place than the U.S.
The space shuttle was often used as an example of why you shouldn't even attempt to make something reusable. But one failed experiment does not invalidate the greater goal. If that was the case, we'd never have had the light bulb.
The reality is gas prices should be much more expensive then they are because we're not incorporating the true damage to the environment and the hidden costs of mining oil and transporting it to the U.S. Whenever you have an unpriced externality, you have a bit of a market failure, to the degree that eternality remains unpriced.
Man has the power to act as his own destroyer - and that is the way he has acted through most of his history.
Government isn't that good at rapid advancement of technology. It tends to be better at funding basic research. To have things take off, you've got to have commercial companies do it.
A new bubble will replace the old one. A new technology will come along to fix the messes we made with the last one. In a way, that is the story of the settling of the Americas, the supposedly inexhaustible frontier to which Europeans escaped.
Safety is not just about trying really hard and being really careful. You have to design technology that makes it possible for a computer to be safe.
The optimism that many felt in the 1960s over labour-saving technology is giving way to a fearful question: 'Will your labour be good for anything in the future? Or will you be replaced by a machine?'
Virtual reality is the 'ultimate empathy machine.' These experiences are more than documentaries. They're opportunities to walk a mile in someone else's shoes.
Security is an endless race - one that you can lead but never decisively win. Yesterday's best defenses cannot fend off the attacks of today or tomorrow.
What matters is 'Have you done a better job of making our experiences feel like home on Windows?' That's our real goal, and that's what we're going to stay focused on.
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