The average investor's return is significantly lower than market indices due primarily to market timing.
Daniel KahnemanRead
We think, each of us, that we're much more rational than we are. And we think that we make our decisions because we have good reasons to make them. Even when it's the other way around. We believe in the reasons, because we've already made the decision.
Interpretation
Our beliefs about our rationality often blind us to the true nature of our decision-making processes.
In this quote, Daniel Kahneman emphasizes how humans tend to overestimate their rationality and the motivations behind their decisions. He argues that we frequently construct justifications for our choices after making them, rather than making decisions based on objective reasoning. This suggests a fundamental bias in our self-perception, where we fail to recognize the influence of emotions and preconceived notions in our decision-making.
In practice
This quote can be used in a lecture about cognitive biases to highlight how people justify their decisions post hoc.
The average investor's return is significantly lower than market indices due primarily to market timing.
Banks are run by executives, and executives protect themselves, and that does not always mean that banks are going to behave rationally.
Laziness is built deep into our nature.
Through some combination of culture and biology, our minds are intuitively receptive to religion.
You are more likely to learn something by finding surprises in your own behavior than by hearing surprising facts about people in general.
It's very easy for trusted companies to mislead naive customers, and life insurance companies are trusted.
Knowing others is to be clever. Knowing yourself is to be enlightened. Overcoming others requires force. Overcoming yourself requires strength.
The past will not tell us what we ought to do, but... what we ought to avoid.
In the vain laughter of folly wisdom hears half its applause.
The main cause of poverty or financial struggle is fear and ignorance, not the economy or the government or the rich.
For in the end, it is all about memory, its sources and its magnitude, and, of course, its consequences.
It's the problem with age. You have all these rusty arguments, and no quarrel to use them in. My brain is a museum, but alas, I'm the only visitor, and even I am not terribly interested in the displays.
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