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To get anywhere, or even to live a long time, a man has to guess, and guess right, over and over again, without enough data for a logical answer.
Robert A. Heinlein
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Interpretation

What this quote means

Success depends on our ability to make informed choices with limited information.

This quote highlights the importance of intuition and decision-making in navigating life's uncertainties. It suggests that to achieve our goals or simply to survive, we often rely on our ability to make educated guesses repeatedly, especially when faced with incomplete data.

Themes

Decision MakingIntuitionUncertaintyLifeChoices

In practice

Example use cases

In a graduation speech about the uncertainties of the future.

More from Robert A. Heinlein

The most important lesson in the writing trade is that any manuscript is improved if you cut away the fat.
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An armed society is a polite society.
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Democracy is a poor system of government at best; the only thing that can honestly be said in its favor is that it is eight times as good as any other method the human race has ever tried.
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Long human words (the longer the better) were easy, unmistakable, and rarely changed their meanings . . . but short words were slippery, unpredictable, changing their meanings without any pattern.
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Progress is made by lazy men looking for easier ways to do things.
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When a place gets crowded enough to require ID's, social collapse is not far away. It is time to go elsewhere. The best thing about space travel is that it made it possible to go elsewhere.
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