The smartest groups, then, are made up of people with diverse perspectives who are able to stay independent of each other.
James SurowieckiRead
It's a familiar truism that at any one moment, financial markets are dominated by either fear or greed. But the healthiest markets are those that are animated by both fear and greed at the same time.
Interpretation
Financial markets are influenced by the emotions of fear and greed, and a balance of both leads to healthier market conditions.
This quote suggests that financial markets are not purely rational but are instead heavily influenced by human emotions, primarily fear and greed. A healthy market, according to Surowiecki, is one where investors act on both of these emotions simultaneously, creating a dynamic balance that can lead to more stable and sustainable market conditions.
In practice
During a financial seminar to illustrate the complexities of market behavior.
The smartest groups, then, are made up of people with diverse perspectives who are able to stay independent of each other.
On the simplest level, telecommuting makes it harder for people to have the kinds of informal interactions that are crucial to the way knowledge moves through an organization. The role that hallway chat plays in driving new ideas has become a cliche of business writing, but that doesn't make it less true.
The history of the Internet is, in part, a series of opportunities missed: the major record labels let Apple take over the digital-music business; Blockbuster refused to buy Netflix for a mere fifty million dollars; Excite turned down the chance to acquire Google for less than a million dollars.
In a world where companies increasingly know about their business in real time, it makes no sense that public reporting mostly follows the old quarterly schedule. Companies sit on vital information until reporting day, at which point the market goes crazy.
Linux is a complex example of the wisdom of crowds. It's a good example in the sense that it shows you can set people to work in a decentralized way - that is, without anyone really directing their efforts in a particular direction - and still trust that they're going to come up with good answers.
The essence of procrastination lies in not doing what you think you should be doing, a mental contortion that surely accounts for the great psychic toll the habit takes on people. This is the perplexing thing about procrastination: although it seems to involve avoiding unpleasant tasks, indulging in it generally doesn't make people happy.
Your priorities, passions, goals, and fears are shown clearly in the flow of your money.
Credit cards are like snakes: Handle 'em long enough, and one will bite you.
The borrowers will always be willing to take a great deal for themselves. It’s up to the lenders to show restraint, and when they lose it, watch out.
All the time and effort people devote to picking the right fund, the hot hand, the great manager have, in most cases, led to no advantage.
Have rational expectations for future returns and avoid changing those expectations in response to the ephemeral noise coming from Wall Street.
The [stock] market,like the Lord, helps those who help themselves. But, unlike the Lord, the market does not forgive those who know not what they do.
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